Identifying the ChatGPT’s Targets: Jobs at Greatest Risk

Language models have become extremely popular in the field of artificial intelligence. These models, such as OpenAI’s ChatGPT and Google’s Bard, are trained using enormous collections of written articles. The training process involves analyzing the probability of a word appearing based on the words that precede it in a sequence. This has led to these language models becoming highly effective at generating human-like text.

With that information at hand, the AI generates answers to a prompt by listing the most probable sequence of words that the model proposes. The field of computer science has subsequently enhanced and polished these procedures, enhancing the capabilities of these systems for better results.

Get ready to be blown away by the astounding, mind-boggling, and slightly terrifying abilities of these advanced artificial intelligence systems. These incredible machines can crack you up with their hilarious jokes, create breathtaking poetry that will move your soul, and even imitate the writing styles of famous literary giants. However, brace yourself for the occasional eyebrow-raising blunders that these AI prodigies might conjure up. Not only do they make mistakes, but they also have a peculiar tendency to pile on additional errors, a phenomenon aptly named “hallucinating” by the brilliant minds behind their creation. It’s like watching a rollercoaster ride of brilliance and chaos, where the boundaries between reality and imagination blur into a whirlwind of perplexity and excitement.

Have you ever wondered about the intriguing and unpredictable nature of question marks? In the world of writing, these punctuation marks possess the power to heighten curiosity and add an element of surprise. With their ability to convey perplexity, questioning, and a sense of unknown, question marks have the potential to captivate readers and make them ponder. Imagine a sentence that ends with a question mark – it invites the reader to pause, reflect, and actively engage with the content. Question marks have a burstiness to them, like a spark that ignites interest and stimulates the mind. They bring a specific context to the writing, allowing the reader to delve into a topic with a new angle. Just as in a conversation between two individuals, question marks inject a human touch into written content, creating a sense of intimacy and connection. So next time you encounter a question mark, allow yourself to embrace the enigma and embrace the wonders it can bring to your reading experience.

Despite the uncertainties, there is a promising outlook for these artificial intelligences. Microsoft intends to integrate this functionality into its Office suite, enabling users to generate written reports, presentations, and analyze data effortlessly. Following a similar path, Google has implemented AI capabilities in its Workspace. The ultimate goal, as envisioned by these tech giants, is to significantly enhance productivity levels for both workers and the organizations they serve. These intelligent systems have the potential to revolutionize how we work, making tasks more efficient and refined.

So, let’s ponder over how folks will make use of these models and which professions will be impacted the most by the rise of Large Language Models. It’s an intriguing question that begs exploration. How will individuals harness the power of these models? And how will they shape the future of various job sectors? It’s almost like unraveling a mystery, as we dive deep into the possibilities and consequences that these emerging language models bring forth. Brace yourselves as we delve into the realms of uncertainty and innovation, discovering the potential impact on different professions.

Now we get an answer of sorts thanks to the work of Tyna Eloundou at OpenAI, an AI start up based in San Francisco, and colleagues. This group asked whether ChatGPT3.5 could be useful for a list of almost 20,000 tasks associated with over 1000 occupations, ranging from computer system architects and nurses to journalists and mathematicians.

The team then determined the impact that ChatGPT3.5 would have. In each case they wanted to know whether the AI would make the task harder, easier or would require some additional software to have a positive effect.

The team decided to test the impact by getting opinions from a group of actual people as well as consulting ChatGPT4, which is the latest and most sophisticated version of OpenAI’s large language model. They wanted to see how these two sources would compare and contrast when asked the same question.

The findings are truly fascinating. According to Eloundou and their team, it appears that around 80% of workers in the United States could witness a minimum of 10% of their job responsibilities being influenced by the implementation of GPTs. Additionally, it is anticipated that approximately 19% of individuals could endure a substantial impact, with at least 50% of their tasks being affected. These numbers paint an intriguing picture of how GPTs will affect various sectors of the workforce.

Not all skills will be affected equally. For instance, our team affirms that skills related to science and critical thinking will experience less impact, whereas skills in writing and programming will be more susceptible.

According to the experts, they have taken a deep dive into the effects on various sectors. Their findings reveal that industries involved in handling information have a significant level of vulnerability, whereas manufacturing, agriculture, and mining sectors have a relatively lower level of vulnerability.

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The team predicts that some jobs will not be influenced by ChatGPT3.5 at all. They include: Tire Repairers and Changers, Motorcycle Mechanic, Short Order Cooks and Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers

Typically, we find that jobs which demand a lot from humans, in terms of education, experience, and training, are more vulnerable to being automated by ChatGPT. These roles have a greater barrier to entry, meaning they require a high level of expertise and qualifications.

But these conclusions come with an important caveat. A significant difficulty is in knowing what kind of impact ChatGPT3.5 could have on any given task. The team acknowledge this and the fact the results are entirely subjective.

Neither is it clear whether ChatGPT3.5 will replace human activity or enhance it. This is an important distinction for predicting future employment trends.

Nevertheless, ChatGPT3.5 and other similar AI systems are here to stay and likely to get better. They are also likely to have a pervasive influence throughout society and lead to a wide range of other innovations. For that reason, Eloundou and co conclude that large language models are a “general purpose technology” like electricity or information technology.

It’s no secret that these technologies have made a big impact on our world and have become essential to our daily lives. It’s hard to imagine a time without them. Can you imagine not having a smartphone or access to the internet? It’s become second nature to rely on these tools for communication, information, and entertainment. They’ve become a part of our identity. Whether it’s checking social media, streaming videos, or browsing the web, these technologies have become intertwined with our daily routines. We’ve become so accustomed to their presence that it’s perplexing to think about how we managed without them. They’ve burst into our lives and changed the way we interact with the world. They’ve made our lives more convenient and connected, but they’ve also brought challenges and complexities. With these technologies, we can accomplish so much, but we’re also faced with issues like privacy and information overload. Despite the ups and downs, there’s no denying the impact these technologies have had on our civilization. They’ve shaped our society, transformed industries, and brought about new possibilities. In a world that’s constantly evolving, it’s important to understand and navigate these technologies to fully embrace the opportunities they bring.

So, the impact of language models on society in the near future is a really pressing and significant question. We can’t really underestimate how these models will shape our lives and the world around us. It’s like a big puzzle that we need to solve and understand. We need to think about the possibilities, the potentials, and the risks that come with these powerful tools. It’s time to explore the unknown and prepare ourselves for what’s ahead. The way language models will affect society is a big deal, and we can’t ignore it. It’s time to dive into the depths of this topic and see where it takes us.

Ref: GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models : arxiv.org/abs/2303.10130